I’ve recently read an article in the Guardian in which the
author debunked some assumptions
about the Real Estate broker profession in New York’s rental market. One
of the main assumptions mentioned was that the profession is very glamorous and is an easy way to make big financial gains without much
effort, especially in the luxury
market. The truth is, if we happen
to be in a sellers' market, as is
the case today, the situation appears
substantially different from what is expected by
the general public.
When
reading this article, I couldn't help but notice the similarities with what is
happening in the post-covid Portuguese market. With
the start of the pandemic in 2020, which lead to quarantine and the closing of
borders internationally, the Portuguese residential market shifted drastically.
In fact, countless numbers of properties, once dedicated to short-term rental,
were now listed as long-term properties – increasing the supply of the latter
on the market. This pushed housing prices down, benefiting buyers/tenants but only
momentarily. Then, at
the end of 2021 and
start of 2022, these
dynamics shifted again with demand exceeding supply significantly and housing
prices reaching all-time highs.
Anyone
who has tried recently to look for a property to rent in Lisbon’s
city center, certainly knows what I'm
talking about. By this I am not referring to a ground floor with an interior
bedroom in the Anjos neighborhood or a fourth-floor studio without an elevator
in Penha de França. If the reader wants to rent a prime apartment for his
family in the center of Lisbon today, he will be faced with a
true Odyssey that will be everything but Epic.
The
market is once again on the side of the owners and it is
expected to remain as
such for a while, at least in the prime residential segment.
According
to a study carried out by the Francisco Manuel dos Santos Foundation on the Portuguese real estate
market, the majority of the Portuguese population
favor purchasing a house over renting
one. The figures for private property sales have in fact grown significantly since 2011 while rental figures have been decreasing for the same period –
rental corresponding to only 19.9% of
the market in Portuguese national territory. However, the main metropolitan areas – Lisbon and Porto – are
telling a different story, with the number of leases accounting
for 42.3% and 43.9% of
the market, respectively.
These figures are furthermore inflated
in the historic centers of
those respective cities, with 64.1% and 54.1% of
the market representing rental properties.
Taking into consideration that Lisbon and Porto are the
cities with the highest demand for real estate, together with the fact that
they are the oldest cities in Portugal with dense historic centers and little to no space for new construction, it is only natural that the supply cannot keep up with the demand.
I
remember that on
multiple occasions during my realtor career in Lisbon, I
would meet with a potential landlord and after returning to the office to
prepare the new listing in the system, I would get a call from the same client
saying “the apartment had already been leased, we had an offer for the asking
price!” In a seller's market, there
are many daily challenges not only for those looking for a home but also for
those looking to work within the real estate industry.
What consists of a seller’s market and what are the
challenges realtors face in such a market?
In a seller’s market there is a decrease in inventory,
there are less houses in the market than buyers/tenants interested to buy. As
an increasing number of buyers are competing for the same pool of available
properties, their negotiation power decreases whereas the seller’s negotiation
power increases. Houses that have the characteristics most buyers are looking
for will spend less time in the market, which allows the seller to have more
leverage. As such, it becomes increasingly important for realtors in such a
competitive market to manage the seller/buyer relationship to a T.
With the decrease in the number of listings,
competitiveness amongst realtors for such listings will increase, as it is well
known in the real estate industry that the secret to any realtor’s success is
in the quality of their listings. Managing the relationship with the seller and
convincing them to sign a contract with you and not another realtor is of the
utmost importance.
Buyer’s Market Vs. Seller’s Market: Expectations Vs.
Relationships management
To be able to stand out and deliver in a seller’s
market, the realtor must understand the main drivers and differences within
these markets.
In my years of experience in real estate and business
development I have come to realize that there are two crucial elements for
succeeding in this profession: the way you manage expectations versus the way
you manage relations.
In a buyer’s market the leverage of the seller is
decreased, thus it becomes increasingly important for the broker to manage the
“expectations” of
the seller. There are fewer buyers on the market than the houses available for
sale, hence the whole selling process becomes less emotional and much more
reasonable. Managing the sellers price expectations is a greater challenge in
such a market. Due to the competitiveness of properties for sale, buyers are
much more sensitive to price increases or drops of properties with very similar
characteristics as theirs.
On the other hand, on a seller’s market the sale
process is more emotional. With the scarcity of properties available for sale,
buyers are more prone to jump at the opportunity when they see one with the
characteristics they are looking for. In this type of market, the realtors need
to be acing up the buyer/seller relationships. They need enough perseverance to
look for off-market properties and be persuasive enough to get those niche
listings. In this type of market, the relationship with the sellers must be
managed carefully because sellers tend to be extremely demanding. In an
unregulated market, such as the Portuguese real estate market, it is not
unusual for the seller to back away from a settled agreement and sell to a
higher bidder. Hence, it’s also important for the realtor to communicate with
the buyer and prepare them to make an acceptable offer as fast as possible to
avoid losing opportunities to a quicker buyer.
by Sara Outeiro, ex Realtor and Business Development
Manager at EQTY Capital