37,000 daily cases expected by January

Portugal is expected to reach 37 thousand new cases of infection with the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus in the first week of January.

By TPN/Lusa, in COVID-19 · 30 Dec 2021, 12:32 · 2 Comments

Forecasts point to more than 37,000 new cases being reached on January 7th, said Marta Temido, stressing that the risk of effective transmission is at 1.3, which is "very high", with an estimated time of eight-day doubling.

“As we unfortunately anticipated, we are facing a very intense growth in the number of cases and this growth rate will probably continue in the coming days”, warned the minister.

"If we manage to responsibly comply with the measures that we have in place, our expectation is that we will be able to reduce this rate of transmission and gain time for more vaccination, for more protection," she said.

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Comments

So we all agree transmission is very high.Yet there is zero data on any long term/long Covid effects and yet you are prepared to gamble the lives of the population for the sake of a few min wage paying over priced hotels and restaurants?

Funny old world

By James from Algarve on 30 Dec 2021, 12:43

A sort of scary prediction but the reality is that the real number of cases per day will be at least double that due to asymptomatic infections and failure to report/confirm positive Lateral flow self-tests.

With no lockdowns it can be estimated by the end of January +80% of those not boosted will have had it (plus~30% of those are boosted) and we will then have a population with herd immunity to Omicron, the dominant Covid strain, at least for this year. Lockdowns are likely to stall the herd immunity development so lets hope the government stick with their pragmatic approach to restrictions. No pain no gain. Sadly the pain will be greatest in the elderly with +90% of the Covid deaths in Portugal being in the +70 year olds who only account for ~10% of the covid cases per day. This is unlike other countries where the age of death with Covid is lower due to deaths in the unvaccinated (younger) population.

By Al from Lisbon on 30 Dec 2021, 19:04