“Housing was the star sector of real estate in 2021, surpassing all previous levels of activity”, says JLL in a report by ECO. Last year, the JLL estimates that 190,000 homes were sold, 18 percent more than in 2020 and 12 percent more than in 2019 (in what had been a record year for the national residential market).
Of the 190,000 homes sold, 89 percent were sold to domestic buyers and around 11 percent to foreign buyers. “The strong market fundamentals should continue in 2022, with a new year of high activity expected”, says the consultant, noting that changes to the golden visa regime should not have negative consequences for the market, “since Portugal is already a recognised residential destination abroad”.
Despite this good performance, the problem of a shortage in supply persists. Joana Fonseca, responsible for Research at JLL, states that the housing stock “has increased by only 1.9 percent in the last decade, which corresponds to around 108,500 dwellings, that is, less than what was sold this year”.
Pedro Lancastre, CEO of JLL Portugal, also warns of the obstacles that remain in the residential market, namely the “slowness and bureaucracy of the licensing processes”. The official notes that the average number of residential units licensed in Portugal in the last decade was 70 percent below the previous decade (2001-2011).
Another constraint is the sharp rise in construction costs, which impacts business plans and end-user pricing. The latest data showed a 7.4 percent increase in construction costs in the last year alone. The consultant warns of the urgency of “managing these constraints so that the creation of supply can be swift and respond to the country's needs”.
Originally from the UK, Daisy has been living and working in Portugal for more than 20 years. She has worked in PR, marketing and journalism, and has been the editor of The Portugal News since 2019. Jornalista 7920
It is impossible to interpret these bare statistics without fuller information concerning the definition of "foreign buyer", the characteristics of the residential property sold and the intended use. The housing stock in Portugal includes many properties which have been vacant for years and merit comprehensive renovation with subsidies and tax concessions being given to intending owner-occupiers of Portuguese nationality or long term licensed residents.
Buyers from the countries within the EU and Portuguese nationals returning from long term residence in countries without who are bringing trade and professional skills which will enhance the economy and Portuguese culture should be given incentives by way of fixed interest mortgages and short tem improvement grants. But buyers from without the EU who are looking for quick tax free profits from "investments" (especially the acquisition in bulk of government property) should be made to pay a super-tax on capital invested and face restrictions upon the location and nature of their desired acquisitions.
Roberto Cavaleiro 27-01-22
By Cavaleiro R. from Other on 27 Jan 2022, 17:56
I don't know where JLL Portugal is getting these figures, but it definitely doesn't match with the official figures published by INE:
. Amount of properties sold in 2019: 181.478
. Amount of properties sold in 2020: 171.800
. Final numbers for 2021 not yet published (153k sold until Q3)
Yes, it all indicates that 2021 was the best year ever for the real estate industry in Portugal. If it was 190k as JLL says, it'd be a 10% increase from 2020 and a 5% increase when compared with 2019.
By Cláudia Gomes from Lisbon on 10 Mar 2022, 16:32